Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +28 (75-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jones III | 31 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Roth | 26 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| N. Williams | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Taber | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Story | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| D. Dumes | 19 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | - |
| D. Moore | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Gambles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Barnett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Jobe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 30 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3 | - |
| D. Summers | 27 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| G. Suton | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| T. Walton | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Allen | 21 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Roe | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| K. Lucious | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Gray | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Thornton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Herzog | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Crandell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter