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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Williams 39 3-8 2-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 8 7 -
C. Skrelja 37 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 7 1 0 3 2 8 -
P. Sullivan 37 8-16 3-8 1-1 8 1 1 1 0 20 15 -
S. Friske 31 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 1 5 6 7 -
M. Mullery 26 13-16 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 1 1 27 15 -
M. Kelly 20 0-8 0-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -4 -
C. Taylor 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Gruber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Leffelman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 36 8-12 3-4 8-11 8 2 4 0 3 27 26 -
D. Housman 36 3-9 1-2 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 7 8 -
E. Harris 35 5-12 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 4 1 12 14 -
P. Boehm 30 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -
A. Pusar 27 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 10 7 -
O. McNally 19 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Wright 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 5 2 -
H. Martin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter