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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model South Alabama Jaguars Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Tilford 39 5-15 2-10 0-0 7 4 0 0 3 12 5 -
D. Coleman 33 5-11 0-2 3-4 7 2 0 0 4 13 7 -
L. Watson 30 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 6 1 -
R. Douglas 29 4-6 0-0 4-8 3 0 0 2 3 12 8 -
C.J. Garner 29 1-3 0-0 0-2 7 5 0 1 1 2 11 -
B. Davis 23 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 12 12 -
B. Sherrer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Tabet 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Slaughter 38 3-12 0-3 7-8 3 6 3 0 2 13 11 -
O. Mendez-Valdez 35 9-20 6-10 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 24 8 -
S. Pettigrew 32 5-10 1-3 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 13 8 -
A. Sally 29 0-5 0-1 4-4 6 2 3 0 1 4 9 -
J. Evans 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 0 4 7 -
S. Kerusch 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
M. Walker 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 5 -
D.J. Magley 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Aguilar 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
D. Cvoro 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter