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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 38 5-16 1-5 4-5 4 5 3 1 2 15 10 -
S. Douglass 32 7-10 6-8 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 20 12 -
C.J. Lee 31 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 0 3 -
D. Sims 24 4-11 0-4 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 8 2 -
Z. Gibson 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 7 7 -
Z. Novak 18 2-7 0-4 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
D. Merritt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 0 3 -
A. Wright 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Shepherd 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Lucas-Perry 8 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
E. Puls 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Thabeet 37 5-6 0-0 7-8 12 1 0 6 2 17 28 -
J. Dyson 35 6-13 3-4 4-5 4 4 1 0 3 19 12 -
A.J. Price 35 2-10 1-5 6-6 5 7 0 0 5 11 8 -
J. Adrien 32 4-10 0-0 1-2 14 0 0 0 4 9 9 -
K. Walker 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
C. Austrie 18 2-6 2-5 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
S. Robinson 16 3-6 0-0 0-2 2 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
G. Edwards 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter