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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Log Adjusted 70.4% 29.6% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Langford 36 7-8 1-1 4-4 3 4 0 1 1 19 18 -
E. Ruzgas 34 4-11 1-7 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 11 3 -
R. Moss 33 3-8 1-5 4-4 8 0 1 0 3 11 9 -
Z. Buljan 26 3-4 2-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 8 9 -
J. Ebie 19 2-4 2-4 1-3 0 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
K. Rose 16 1-3 0-2 1-1 0 5 0 0 2 3 3 -
K. Mitchem 15 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
K. Butler 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Ortiz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
L. Lancon 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carr 36 5-8 0-1 6-8 1 2 3 0 1 16 13 -
W. Gardner 35 3-6 0-2 4-4 6 5 1 0 0 10 16 -
M. Walker 30 6-12 2-4 6-9 2 2 2 0 0 20 14 -
T. Franklin 22 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 0 5 7 -
A. Ogide 21 1-3 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
H. Perry 18 5-6 1-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 11 13 -
A. McFarland 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Nigon 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Dunn 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Bocar Ba 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter