Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 34 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| V. Oliver | 34 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Harden | 32 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Calegari | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Carter | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Malik | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Silva | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Boone | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Scott | 32 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 31 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Austin | 27 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Borum | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 24 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Soto | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Diggs | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Meo | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. LoBue | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Veteto | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter