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2009-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.5 (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +26 (89-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson 37 7-12 0-1 3-4 8 3 0 0 1 17 15 -
K. McAlarney 35 6-10 3-6 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 16 7 -
R. Ayers 27 2-8 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -2 -
Z. Hillesland 26 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 5 1 0 2 3 9 -
L. Harangody 25 2-12 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 5 -9 -
L. Zeller 17 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
J. Peoples 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Nash 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
C. Scott 9 3-7 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 7 5 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 27 5-9 3-4 4-4 2 4 1 1 0 17 16 -
A. Aboya 27 9-12 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 0 0 19 16 -
J. Shipp 24 3-8 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 7 5 -
J. Holiday 23 3-6 0-2 2-2 3 7 3 0 2 8 13 -
N. Dragovic 23 4-6 1-1 1-1 6 0 0 1 2 10 9 -
M. Roll 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 7 5 -
J. Keefe 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lee 13 3-4 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Anderson 12 3-4 2-2 2-2 0 1 0 1 0 10 8 -
D. Gordon 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 1 6 -
J. Morgan 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
B. Arnet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Soo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Diefenbach 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter