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2009-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 โœ— (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—

Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers -11 (63-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Scott 32 3-4 3-4 1-2 2 4 3 0 4 10 11 -
J. Miller 30 7-10 0-0 7-12 10 1 0 2 1 21 23 -
A. Ampim 30 1-5 0-1 3-4 2 4 0 0 2 5 4 -
K. Bulger 29 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 4 6 -
N. Agho 28 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 5 3 -
P. Foley 17 2-3 0-0 6-6 2 2 1 0 3 10 9 -
K.J. Matsui 16 3-6 3-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
Z. Crimmins 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
S. Egee 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
I. Mase 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Rosen 35 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 8 3 0 4 4 6 -
J. Eggleston 29 3-4 1-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
T. Bernardini 29 4-9 1-4 6-6 5 1 1 0 3 15 10 -
R. Belcore 26 1-3 1-2 0-1 3 4 2 1 0 3 10 -
B. Votel 24 6-12 0-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 2 13 3 -
K. Egee 23 3-8 2-4 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 12 3 -
C. Lewis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
M. Howlett 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Turley 4 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter