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2009-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% -
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 66.6% 33.4% -
Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Log Adjusted 81.3% 18.7% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mullery 45 3-14 0-1 6-9 13 2 1 0 2 12 12 -
P. Sullivan 44 6-14 2-5 4-7 6 0 0 1 5 18 6 -
S. Friske 40 8-21 0-1 3-6 13 2 0 0 4 19 9 -
A. Williams 40 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 4 0 2 8 8 -
C. Skrelja 40 1-5 0-1 2-3 8 3 0 0 4 4 6 -
S. Kane 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Taylor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Gruber 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 42 11-21 5-8 1-2 5 1 3 1 4 28 13 -
M. Sanders 29 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 6 4 -
J. Trotter 28 1-4 1-1 1-2 2 2 2 0 2 4 4 -
R. Pride 26 3-8 1-2 1-4 8 2 2 0 4 8 8 -
E. Fitzgerald 26 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
D. Rufful 22 4-11 0-2 0-1 3 2 2 1 1 8 4 -
K. Graeber 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
D. Biber 13 0-6 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -4 -
J. Riddle 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Dixon 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Weeden 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter