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2009-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 74.2% 25.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.1% 60.9% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (24.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -21 (66-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinick 32 6-8 0-0 3-5 2 5 1 0 1 15 14 -
R. Morin 28 5-9 0-0 5-6 4 2 0 1 1 15 12 -
A. Zampier 26 5-10 2-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 12 8 -
C. Andrews 23 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
P. Braswell 16 3-5 2-3 5-7 5 1 0 0 0 13 14 -
G. Fiddler 15 2-3 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
M. Sands 14 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Gibson 12 2-2 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 2 6 4 -
G. Mangano 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
P. Nelson 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
R. Mantilla 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
R. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Rose 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Willhite 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 34 7-11 2-3 7-10 4 5 2 0 7 23 16 -
P. Boehm 32 1-8 1-7 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 3 2 -
D. Housman 28 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 4 2 0 1 7 7 -
A. Pusar 27 4-5 2-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
E. Harris 24 2-3 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 1 0 8 12 -
K. Wright 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 4 5 -
O. McNally 20 2-3 1-1 1-3 1 1 2 0 2 6 5 -
D. McGeary 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
P. Swiatek 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Kenyi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
H. Martin 1 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter