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2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (4.5 off)

Actual: Troy Trojans +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. McKinney 29 6-10 0-0 4-7 8 0 0 3 0 16 17 -
D. Boone 25 6-14 3-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 15 6 -
Y. Chia-Kur 25 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 0 2 10 10 -
B. Ayers 24 4-12 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 0 -
M. Lance 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 6 6 -
P.J. Keaton 19 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 8 4 -
S. Morgan 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
I. Koggu 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 3 -
D. Bryant 16 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Thomas 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Delk 33 7-14 3-5 1-1 6 2 1 0 3 18 10 -
M. Vogler 32 4-8 0-0 1-3 2 7 0 0 0 9 10 -
B. Hazzard 29 6-15 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 14 -1 -
A. Jones 26 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 3 1 7 13 -
M. Telfair 24 8-11 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 0 1 17 13 -
T. Jervis 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 3 1 2 10 -
K. Ware 17 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
T. Lee 10 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 9 7 -
J. Williams 10 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 2 0 1 3 2 -
R. Huddleston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter