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Gonzaga Bulldogs 93
@
Portland Pilots 78
2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 96.6% 3.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 91.3% 8.7% - ✓
Margin 96.3% 3.7% -17.9 ✓ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.3% 43.7% - ✓
Efficiency 90.2% 9.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.8% 6.2% - ✓

Actual: Portland Pilots -15 (78-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 39 8-11 3-4 7-8 2 8 3 0 2 26 26 -
S. Gray 38 6-8 2-4 0-1 3 3 0 0 0 14 12 -
J. Pargo 36 7-10 2-2 6-10 6 2 3 0 1 22 22 -
A. Daye 34 4-10 1-3 5-6 12 0 0 3 3 14 16 -
J. Heytvelt 26 5-12 0-1 5-6 4 0 0 1 0 15 8 -
I. Brown 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Downs 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
W. Foster 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
D. Goodson 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell 38 7-10 4-7 1-3 0 7 1 0 4 19 13 -
R. Smeulders 34 4-11 0-0 8-11 11 1 0 0 2 16 15 -
N. Raivio 32 7-16 3-8 2-2 4 2 0 1 2 19 8 -
J. Stohl 32 2-8 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 0 -
L. Sikma 23 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
E. Niedermeyer 18 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
K. Knutson 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 1 4 -
B.J. Porter 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
T. Ito 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter