Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kanaskie | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Yates | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| N. Johnson | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| M. Haddock | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Williams | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Hair | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| E. Allen | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Yarbrough | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Hopson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rohnert | 38 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Stafford | 35 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Hallam | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Lewis | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Coughlin | 23 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| S. Chen | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Lewis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Hooper | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter