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2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (11.9 off)
Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 36 9-17 0-0 4-5 9 0 0 0 0 22 14 -
C. Wells 35 7-14 0-0 6-6 4 4 0 0 4 20 10 -
Z. Urbanus 35 4-6 3-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 3 13 12 -
A. Dahn 25 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Brown 23 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 2 1 1 7 12 -
C. Morabbi 21 2-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
B. Streeter 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
M. Clark 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Brick 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Roberts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sims 37 3-12 2-10 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 10 6 -
K. Brand 30 3-9 0-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 10 2 -
I. Butts 28 5-9 0-0 3-3 7 0 1 2 2 13 12 -
J. Hunter 22 7-10 0-0 4-6 3 1 1 1 1 18 13 -
J. Booth 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Hughes 20 4-9 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
T. Webb 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
M. Wright 13 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 4 1 0 1 6 6 -
A. Williamson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 3 0 2 6 -

* = starter