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2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 47.8% 52.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 30 5-13 1-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 3 11 -2 -
J. Knox 27 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
S. Hillman 27 3-12 1-3 4-4 2 1 2 0 2 11 2 -
M. Torrance 25 2-5 0-2 6-6 3 3 0 0 0 10 11 -
A. Brock 20 5-7 5-6 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 15 12 -
J. Green 20 3-7 0-0 6-6 10 0 1 3 3 12 16 -
D. Jemison 17 3-3 0-0 1-3 9 1 0 1 1 7 14 -
Y. Coleman 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 3 -
B. Hollinger 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Steele 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 40 7-13 4-8 2-4 2 8 0 0 2 20 15 -
B. Tinsley 37 4-12 2-8 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 10 3 -
A.J. Ogilvy 31 7-14 2-2 4-10 12 1 1 4 4 20 20 -
J. Taylor 23 3-4 0-0 5-8 2 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
S. Tchiengang 20 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
D. McClellan 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
L. Goulbourne 13 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
F. Ezeli 10 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Hinkle 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter