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2009-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Furman Paladins Spread Result
Elo 77.9% 22.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 73.8% 26.2% - โœ—
Margin 71.8% 28.2% -5.1 โœ— (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 74.4% 25.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.3% 18.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.1% 18.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 61.0% 39.0% - โœ—

Actual: Furman Paladins +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Montgomery 34 4-9 0-3 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 10 4 -
C. West 32 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 4 4 -
J. Davis 32 6-10 5-9 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 17 8 -
B. Friday 31 6-9 1-2 8-10 1 2 0 0 1 21 14 -
A. King 24 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Griffin 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 0 4 -
J. Merritt 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Bedwell 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
G. Bermudez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Sebirumbi 34 3-6 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
J. Miller 34 5-14 3-6 5-6 3 0 0 0 1 18 6 -
J. Dehm 30 3-5 1-2 3-4 2 5 2 0 3 10 11 -
B. Barnes 29 4-8 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 2 1 9 10 -
N. States 28 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 10 11 -
T. Anderson 16 2-3 1-2 0-1 4 2 0 0 4 5 4 -
C. Nolte 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
N. Duval 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Toler 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Opacic 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter