Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.0% | 15.0% | -12.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +5 (57-52). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maze Stallworth * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Leon Buchanan * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 32 | - |
| Demonte Harper * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Shingles * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Steve Peterson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Robert Murry | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Terrance Hill | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cecil Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Lamb | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Toles * | 39 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Bynum * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| DeAndre Bray * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Amadou Mbodji * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Geddes Robinson * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Crawford | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nick Murphy | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Hall | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter