Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holsinger | 37 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Williams | 36 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| S. Ely | 34 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| N. Garner | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Hopf | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Holmes | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Lacey | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Weems | 34 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| C. Cooks | 30 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| S. Laurie | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. McFarland | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| W. Knapp | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Laurie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter