Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -13 (69-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Swanston | 33 | 7-13 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| A. Semenov | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| P. Curtis | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Wells | 31 | 9-17 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 7 | - |
| D. Moore | 30 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Louis | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Thornton | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Ratner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Renkin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Knight | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dukes | 32 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| T. Hampton | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Goldston | 27 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| R. Chase | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Lott | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Curry | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Mendez | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Fields | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Hansbro | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter