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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 77.5% 22.5% -
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% -
Margin 71.2% 28.8% -5.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stinnett 32 7-12 1-5 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 17 6 -
J. Carter 27 3-6 0-1 3-3 7 1 1 1 2 9 11 -
J. Dotzler 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 6 4 0 0 4 11 -
B. Woodfox 26 9-17 5-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 23 11 -
K. Walker II 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 1 4 8 -
C. Harriman 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
A. Young 14 1-3 0-1 5-6 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Korver 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
K. Lawson Jr. 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
C. Witter 10 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
D. Sitzmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox 38 5-10 4-5 5-6 4 0 0 0 5 19 8 -
C. Stanley 35 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 5 1 -
J. Young 35 6-14 0-2 6-8 6 4 0 0 2 18 12 -
J. Parker 28 6-11 3-5 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 18 10 -
A. Templeton 18 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 2 4 -
B. Heemskerk 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
J. Baryenbruch 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
J. Hall 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Eaddy 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter