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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% -
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% -
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% -
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +10 (93-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harangody 39 10-21 1-1 7-10 14 5 0 1 0 28 27 -
K. McAlarney 38 2-12 0-5 9-9 3 7 0 0 3 13 8 -
Z. Hillesland 35 4-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 2 11 8 -
T. Jackson 30 4-10 0-1 3-3 2 6 0 0 3 11 6 -
R. Ayers 29 6-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
J. Peoples 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Zeller 10 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
C. Scott 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 36 5-13 5-11 19-22 3 4 1 0 2 34 27 -
R. Bishop 32 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 0 4 -
D. Dixon 30 3-5 1-2 2-4 2 2 1 0 0 9 9 -
L. Davis 30 8-14 3-6 2-2 2 2 0 1 0 21 12 -
Y. Gates 21 7-13 0-0 1-4 8 0 2 2 1 15 13 -
S. Toyloy 17 1-4 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
D. Wilks 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 2 0 3 8 -
M. Williams 13 1-2 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
A. Mitchell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Miller 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter