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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (27.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: UCF Knights -28 (69-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Coleman 38 9-16 1-5 11-12 10 5 3 0 2 30 30 -
K. Lewis 35 5-16 3-9 4-4 2 1 2 0 0 17 6 -
D. Wade 31 3-5 0-0 2-2 1 6 3 0 0 8 13 -
Q. Calhoun 27 7-9 3-3 1-1 1 3 1 2 1 18 15 -
M. Cousin 21 3-4 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 2 3 10 13 -
N. Mosley 15 3-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 0 9 12 -
S. Coleman 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Nixon 11 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 2 3 1 -
H. McGloster 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Williams 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Y. Moukoury 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Young 32 1-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 3 0 3 4 2 -
J. Taylor 30 10-21 3-8 3-5 7 1 0 1 3 26 11 -
K. Zondervan 26 3-7 0-0 1-1 3 0 2 0 2 7 3 -
T. Davis 25 9-17 0-1 2-5 13 0 0 1 2 20 15 -
A.J. Rompza 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
A.J. Tyler 18 0-2 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
I. Sosa 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
C. Baez 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
W. Weathers 8 0-3 0-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P.J. Gaynor 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Speraw 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Yotio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter