Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✓ (27.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -28 (69-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Coleman | 38 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 11-12 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 30 | - |
| K. Lewis | 35 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| D. Wade | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Q. Calhoun | 27 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| M. Cousin | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Mosley | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Coleman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| H. McGloster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Y. Moukoury | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Young | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Taylor | 30 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Davis | 25 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| I. Sosa | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Baez | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Weathers | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Speraw | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Yotio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter