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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Taylor 35 6-9 3-4 2-3 3 3 3 0 1 17 16 -
J.T. Tiller 29 3-6 0-0 4-6 3 5 1 0 0 10 13 -
D. Carroll 28 5-12 0-1 3-7 4 1 1 2 2 13 7 -
L. Lyons 27 7-11 0-1 0-1 3 2 0 1 1 14 8 -
M. Lawrence 20 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
K. English 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Ramsey 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 2 6 -
M. Denmon 14 2-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 5 0 -
L. Bowers 5 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Paul 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Safford 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 40 4-9 3-7 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 11 3 -
J. Mason 38 2-6 0-0 2-4 6 7 2 1 5 6 11 -
V. Ward 28 2-4 0-1 0-1 4 4 1 0 3 4 6 -
D. James 27 3-8 0-1 0-0 10 2 1 1 1 6 11 -
D. Pittman 23 9-12 0-0 7-10 7 0 0 2 2 25 20 -
G. Johnson 17 2-10 0-0 3-5 1 0 0 0 1 7 -3 -
C. Atchley 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Chapman 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Balbay 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter