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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 76.8% 23.2% -
Margin 83.4% 16.6% -8.9 (35.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers +27 (74-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 29 1-8 1-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 3 0 -
L. Thomas 26 3-3 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 1 1 10 12 -
G. Henderson 26 5-13 1-6 5-6 5 0 0 0 2 16 6 -
K. Singler 24 2-8 0-1 2-6 7 2 1 1 5 6 4 -
N. Smith 23 1-7 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 3 -5 -
D. McClure 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Paulus 18 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Plumlee 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
B. Zoubek 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Williams 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
M. Pocius 2 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.C. Rivers 31 4-12 0-3 3-5 7 4 7 1 2 11 16 -
T. Booker 29 8-10 1-1 4-6 8 2 1 3 1 21 24 -
D. Potter 27 2-5 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
T. Oglesby 24 6-16 5-11 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 17 2 -
D. Stitt 24 0-4 0-1 0-1 6 4 0 2 4 0 4 -
J. Grant 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 8 9 -
A. Young 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 0 2 -
T. Smith 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
R. Sykes 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter