Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +29 (76-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sampson III | 31 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Joseph | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| A. Nolen | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| P. Carter | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Iverson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Johnson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Bostick | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Abu-Shamala | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Busch | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Williams | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 28 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| T. Walton | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| D. Summers | 21 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| D. Roe | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| G. Suton | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| C. Allen | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Lucious | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. Ibok | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Gray | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Green | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Thornton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Herzog | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crandell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kebler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter