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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 70.9% 29.1% -
Efficiency 93.2% 6.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% -
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 39 7-15 3-9 5-6 4 0 0 1 1 22 11 -
J. Peterson 39 4-8 1-2 3-5 5 5 2 1 6 12 11 -
J. Cole 29 2-5 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 1 2 7 7 -
J. Davis 29 3-6 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Kelly 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 3 2 4 -
D. Bawinkel 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
A. Fuller 10 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
D. Palmer 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
A. Brommer 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taber 37 3-6 0-0 1-3 8 1 1 2 1 7 12 -
N. Williams 36 4-9 0-0 6-6 9 1 2 1 1 14 17 -
D. Dumes 35 8-9 5-5 6-8 4 2 2 0 2 27 24 -
V. Jones III 33 1-5 0-0 2-6 1 6 0 0 3 4 3 -
M. Roth 22 2-7 1-6 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 5 -3 -
M. Story 15 4-8 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
T. Pritchard 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
D. Moore 8 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
B. Lewis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter