Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -3 (57-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 41 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 39 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| E. Holloway | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| B. Sampay | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 27 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Holtz | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Robinson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Odzic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Shipley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard | 38 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 6 | - |
| J. Bocot | 35 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Hare | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Boyle | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Booker | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Fay | 23 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Evans | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter