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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (20.5 off)
Pythagorean 79.5% 20.5% -
Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -18 (62-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 35 12-16 0-1 3-4 9 2 1 1 2 27 22 -
M. Thornton 33 11-18 3-5 5-5 6 3 3 0 0 30 24 -
G. Temple 31 1-4 0-2 3-4 1 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
Q. Thornton 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 4 8 -
B. Spencer 21 0-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -5 -
C. Johnson 17 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 3 7 6 -
T. Martin 15 1-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Bass 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 0 3 -
D. Graham 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Farrer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Warren 4 1-2 0-0 0-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Woodbury 31 6-13 2-6 8-10 8 2 0 0 1 22 18 -
D. Ware 31 3-10 0-3 1-3 2 2 1 0 4 7 -2 -
T. Thompkins 23 5-11 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
A. Jackson 22 1-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
C. Butler 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Price 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
C. Barnes 17 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 2 0 0 4 6 -
T. Brewer 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. McPhee 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Swansey 10 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
T. Leslie 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Zlovaric 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter