Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lewis | 37 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 3 | - |
| D. DeRozan | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Gibson | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Hackett | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Smith | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| L. Washington | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. Simmons | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Dunleavy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cameron | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Diarra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Dragovic | 27 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Holiday | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| D. Collison | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Shipp | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| A. Aboya | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Roll | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Gordon | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Anderson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Keefe | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Lee | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Soo | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Morgan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Diefenbach | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Schmidt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter