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2009-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 81.7% 18.3% -11.2 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Margin 77.6% 22.4% -6.8 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -2 (72-74). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Smith * 33 6-13 1-4 3-3 3 1 0 0 4 16 3 -
J.P. Prince * 31 5-6 0-0 3-5 5 6 1 0 2 13 17 -
Wayne Chism * 29 7-13 1-4 7-7 9 0 0 0 4 22 14 -
Scotty Hopson * 20 1-6 0-4 0-0 4 2 3 0 1 2 4 -
Josh Tabb * 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
Bobby Maze 25 5-7 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 13 5 -
Cameron Tatum 20 2-6 2-6 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 -
Brian Williams 15 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 0 0 5 -
Renaldo Woolridge 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Emmanuel Negedu 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Steven Pearl 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stefan Welsh * 38 8-14 4-8 2-2 2 3 3 0 5 22 11 -
Courtney Fortson * 37 8-15 2-4 1-2 3 6 3 0 3 19 13 -
Michael Washington * 31 6-9 0-0 6-11 11 0 1 3 1 18 23 -
Rotnei Clarke * 28 0-6 0-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Jason Henry * 28 5-14 1-6 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 11 6 -
Michael Sanchez 22 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Marcus Britt 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter