Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.6% | 1.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -21 (50-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fredette | 37 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 36 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| L. Cummard | 35 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| J. Emery | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Miles | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Morgan Jr. | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Anderson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Abouo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Rose | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Holland | 35 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Henke | 30 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| B. Provost | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Schafer | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Noonan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Stewart | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| G. Parker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| E. Washington | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter