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2009-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (15.0 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (108-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Mosley 29 6-10 0-0 7-7 3 4 0 0 4 19 12 -
G. Vasquez 28 5-13 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 13 0 -
L. Milbourne 26 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
A. Bowie 23 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 4 0 0 2 6 8 -
D. Neal 22 3-7 0-1 4-4 4 0 1 2 1 10 9 -
C. Tucker 20 8-14 1-1 1-1 4 4 3 0 0 18 15 -
E. Hayes 19 4-10 1-4 1-1 3 5 1 0 2 10 7 -
D. Gregory 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 1 0 0 5 -
J. Kim 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
B. Dupree 9 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 1 0 6 6 -
D. Pearman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough 30 7-16 1-1 9-10 6 2 2 0 1 24 17 -
D. Green 29 6-12 4-6 0-0 1 5 1 3 3 16 11 -
W. Ellington 29 12-15 7-9 3-3 9 0 1 0 4 34 25 -
T. Lawson 25 6-10 4-5 5-6 1 6 4 0 0 21 22 -
D. Thompson 21 2-5 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 2 6 9 -
E. Davis 19 1-4 0-0 1-4 7 1 0 1 2 3 6 -
B. Frasor 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 2 4 -
L. Drew II 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 0 2 -
M. Copeland 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Watts 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Moody 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Wooten 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.B. Tanner 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Campbell 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter