Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✗ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -9 (57-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Turner | 37 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| R. Johnson | 36 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Bost | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Stewart | 33 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Varnado | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| E. Bailey | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Benock | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Beckham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Osby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Bolen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Meeks | 37 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | - |
| P. Patterson | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Miller | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Porter | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Liggins | 19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Harris | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Slone | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Galloway | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter