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Northern Iowa Panthers 61
@
Bradley Braves 58
2009-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% - ✓
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% - ✓

Actual: Bradley Braves -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Moran 35 3-8 3-5 0-0 0 6 3 0 1 9 9 -
K. Ahelegbe 34 2-5 0-0 2-3 2 7 0 0 1 6 9 -
A. Farokhmanesh 28 4-11 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 11 0 -
L. O'Rear 26 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 4 10 -
J. Eglseder 24 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 4 12 11 -
A. Koch 22 1-1 0-0 10-10 4 0 0 0 2 12 13 -
T. Brown 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
K. Dunham 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Rodenberg 4 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 36 6-13 1-6 6-7 1 1 1 0 1 19 8 -
T. Wilson 30 5-10 0-0 3-4 5 1 3 0 1 13 11 -
D. Dunson 28 1-7 0-3 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
E. McCain 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 3 6 -
S. Singh 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 2 6 4 -
C. Roberts 21 1-7 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 1 0 4 5 -
D. Collins 15 4-6 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 1 1 11 11 -
T. Brown 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
D. Norris 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter