Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Jackson State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | +9.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Tigers +4 (87-83). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Calvin | 37 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| T. Washington | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| E. Brooks | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Montgomery | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Townsend | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Glass | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| George Davis | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Parks | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| H. Barnett | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Kennedy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Melvin | 38 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| G. Johnson | 37 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| D. Griffin | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 9 | - |
| J. Caldwell | 32 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 24 | - |
| G. Maxey | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Hyche | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Burk | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Dixon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Russell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter