Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Lady Toppers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.