Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -17 (51-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Thabeet | 39 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| J. Adrien | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Dyson | 36 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Walker | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Price | 30 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Austrie | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Edwards | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Robinson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Clark | 33 | 2-16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | - |
| T. Williams | 28 | 11-19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| E. Sosa | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Samuels | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Knowles | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Jennings | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Kuric | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. McGee | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| G. Goode | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Delk | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter