Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gatens | 40 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Peterson | 36 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Kelly | 33 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | - |
| J. Davis | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Cole | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Palmer | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Fuller | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Bawinkel | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frazier | 36 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| T. Meacham | 33 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. McCamey | 33 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Davis | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Brock | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Keller | 17 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Legion | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Jordan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter