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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 58.6% 41.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +16 (79-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parsons 35 6-10 1-4 2-5 9 1 0 0 3 15 12 -
D. Werner 34 2-7 1-5 2-2 7 1 3 0 1 7 10 -
W. Hodge 29 1-5 0-2 2-3 1 1 0 0 4 4 -3 -
N. Calathes 28 7-14 3-6 4-5 2 4 2 0 4 21 11 -
A. Tyus 25 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 2 7 5 -
E. Walker 22 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
K. Kadji 13 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
R. Shipman 10 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
A. Chaney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 35 5-14 3-8 3-6 9 4 0 0 2 16 13 -
J.P. Prince 34 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 9 2 1 1 2 13 -
W. Chism 27 4-10 0-1 4-7 9 1 2 1 2 12 13 -
S. Hopson 27 8-12 4-6 0-1 3 0 2 0 3 20 10 -
B. Maze 22 4-8 1-4 2-3 1 4 1 1 0 11 10 -
J. Tabb 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 5 0 0 1 3 6 -
B. Williams 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
C. Tatum 13 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 9 6 -
E. Negedu 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Woolridge 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter