Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Stony Brook Seawolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.