Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sims | 30 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 29 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Douglass | 23 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Harris | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | - |
| A. Wright | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Grady | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Merritt | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Puls | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 37 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| C. Kramer | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Johnson | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Hummel | 24 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Grant | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Green | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| N. Calasan | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Riddell | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wohlford | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Reid | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter