Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +18 (84-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Simpson | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. McConnell | 32 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| O. Samhan | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Hughes | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Walker | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Steindl | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Hunter | 17 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Y. Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 35 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| N. Raivio | 35 | 11-19 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| J. Stohl | 27 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| K. Knutson | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Sikma | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Waterford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Mitrovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Ito | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter