Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Wilson | 36 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 35 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Dunson | 34 | 5-16 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| E. McCain | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Collins | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Singh | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Roberts | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Norris | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Brown | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 35 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 34 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| E. Holloway | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| L. Phillips | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Odzic | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Sampay | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Rubin | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter