Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +13 (56-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Bastfield | 39 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Kent | 39 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 36 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Johnson | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Lo | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Byrd | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Salter | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Z. Taylor | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Betts | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Pierce | 29 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| G. Gamble | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| V. Fedotov | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Robinson | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Alston | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Boyer | 13 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Smiley | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Boudreau | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Watt | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter