Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -21 (38-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Darger | 35 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| W. Adams | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Willis | 28 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| K. Wallace | 27 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Santee | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Massamba | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Ketchum | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henke | 33 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Holland | 30 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Provost | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Stewart | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| E. Washington | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Schafer | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Parker | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. McLain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter