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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% -
Log Adjusted 22.8% 77.2% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 31 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 3 2 -
T. Boyle 31 3-4 0-0 5-10 9 1 2 1 1 11 19 -
K. Dillard 29 4-10 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 10 -1 -
A. Booker 28 3-6 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 0 1 9 9 -
J. Bocot 27 3-8 2-5 4-5 2 3 0 0 1 12 8 -
R. Hare 19 1-7 0-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -6 -
W. Clemmons 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
C. Fay 13 1-3 1-3 0-2 2 1 0 1 3 3 1 -
N. Evans 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holsinger 37 4-11 1-6 4-5 1 8 1 0 3 13 9 -
K. Williams 33 0-4 0-0 2-4 4 4 3 0 3 2 6 -
S. Ely 32 8-14 0-0 6-10 6 1 2 0 0 22 17 -
P. van Tongeren 25 2-3 0-0 2-5 7 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
J. Haarsma 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
N. Garner 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
K. Lacey 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
C. Hopf 13 1-1 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 6 8 -
D. Holmes 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter