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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 22.4% 77.6% -
Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Log Adjusted 16.4% 83.6% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Butler 37 0-3 0-1 6-6 3 1 2 0 3 6 6 -
T. Thompkins 36 8-17 3-7 3-4 14 1 3 1 3 22 21 -
D. Ware 29 4-7 2-4 1-2 0 4 0 0 1 11 7 -
T. Woodbury 29 6-15 2-8 1-1 5 2 2 0 5 15 4 -
A. Jackson 23 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 7 8 -
J. Price 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 2 3 4 5 -
Z. Swansey 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 2 0 1 -
R. McPhee 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
T. Leslie 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Barnes 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 31 6-8 3-3 5-7 4 2 1 0 4 20 15 -
S. Hillman 29 7-11 3-4 2-2 2 3 5 1 3 19 16 -
J. Green 28 7-14 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 3 4 14 15 -
J. Knox 24 2-5 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
M. Torrance 23 2-7 0-2 2-3 2 3 0 0 2 6 2 -
A. Brock 18 2-6 0-3 0-1 1 2 3 0 0 4 4 -
D. Jemison 17 0-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
B. Hollinger 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Y. Coleman 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -
A. Steele 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -

* = starter