Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -15 (65-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brown | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Kirby | 34 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Troyer | 26 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Willard | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Ford | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Neufville | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Doran | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 36 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Payne | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| V. Oliver | 34 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| D. Carter | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Calegari | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Silva | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Malik | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Boone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter