Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jefferson | 40 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Rybak | 35 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| B. Bush | 35 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| B. Benson | 20 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Bowman | 20 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Sloan | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Moseley | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Jackson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Gough | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Vereen | 35 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| M. Haynes | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| B. Long | 30 | 2-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Guignard | 26 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Moffitt | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Parker | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Reed III | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter