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2009-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% -
Margin 64.0% 36.0% -3.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Log Adjusted 17.1% 82.9% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harangody 39 11-25 0-2 5-6 11 4 1 2 1 27 19 -
K. McAlarney 37 3-11 3-9 1-1 6 6 1 0 2 10 10 -
T. Jackson 31 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 6 0 0 5 0 2 -
Z. Hillesland 25 3-5 0-0 6-9 1 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
R. Ayers 23 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
L. Zeller 21 6-9 6-9 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 18 8 -
J. Peoples 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
T. Nash 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Fields 33 6-12 2-3 3-7 2 7 2 0 0 17 16 -
D. Blair 31 10-18 0-0 3-6 22 0 1 1 2 23 27 -
J. Dixon 29 5-7 3-3 3-4 5 2 2 1 1 16 18 -
S. Young 27 2-11 0-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 5 -2 -
T. Biggs 27 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
A. Gibbs 17 5-9 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 13 7 -
B. Wanamaker 16 2-5 1-4 8-8 6 2 0 0 0 13 16 -
G. Brown 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
N. Robinson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. McGhee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter